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Pavel Dimitrov Atanasov

Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament
2014 · Barbara Mellers, Lyle Ungar, et al. · Psychological Science · 325
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The psychology of intelligence analysis: Drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics.
2015 · Barbara Mellers, Eric Stone, et al. · Journal of Experimental Psychology Applied · 203
Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls
2016 · Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, et al. · Management Science · 187
CAD or MAD? Anger (not disgust) as the predominant response to pathogen-free violations of the divinity code.
2014 · Edward Royzman, Pavel Atanasov, et al. · Emotion · 118
Are culturally specific measures of trauma-related anxiety and depression needed? The case of Sri Lanka.
2012 · Nuwan Jayawickreme, Eranda Jayawickreme, et al. · Psychological Assessment · 66
Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters
2020 · Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, et al. · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · 46
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Cost Utility of Adalimumab versus Infliximab Maintenance Therapies in the United States for Moderately to Severely Active Crohnʼs Disease
2009 · Andrew P. Yu, Scott Johnson, et al. · PharmacoEconomics · 44
Accountability and adaptive performance under uncertainty: A long-term view
2017 · Welton Chang, Pavel Atanasov, et al. · Judgment and Decision Making · 38
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Proper Proxy Scoring Rules
2017 · Jens Witkowski, Pavel Atanasov, et al. · Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence · 36
Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking”
2019 · Jason Dana, Pavel Atanasov, et al. · Judgment and Decision Making · 33
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Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences
2021 · Mark Himmelstein, Pavel Atanasov, et al. · Judgment and Decision Making · 31
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Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets versus Prediction Polls
2015 · Pavel Atanasov, Philip Rescober, et al. · Academy of Management Proceedings · 27
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events†
2023 · Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, et al. · AI Magazine · 26
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Risk Preferences in Choices for Self and Others: Meta Analysis and Research Directions
2010 · Pavel D. Atanasov · SSRN Electronic Journal · 26
SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System
2019 · Fred Morstatter, Aram Galstyan, et al. · International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence · 24
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Leveling the playing field: Dishonesty in the face of threat
2011 · Pavel Atanasov, Jason Dana · Journal of Economic Psychology · 19
Talent Spotting in Crowd Prediction
2023 · Pavel Atanasov, Mark Himmelstein · International series in management science/operations research/International series in operations research & management science · 17
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Comparing the treatment patterns of patients with schizophrenia treated with olanzapine and quetiapine in the Pennsylvania Medicaid population
2009 · Andrew P. Yu, Rym Ben-Hamadi, et al. · Current Medical Research and Opinion · 16
Comparing Physicians Personal Prevention Practices and Their Recommendations to Patients
2013 · Pavel Atanasov, Britta L. Anderson, et al. · Journal for Healthcare Quality · 15
Direct costs associated with initiating NPH insulin versus glargine in patients with type 2 diabetes: A retrospective database analysis
2009 · Lauren J. Lee, Andrew P. Yu, et al. · Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice · 15
Resource Utilization and Costs of Schizophrenia Patients Treated with Olanzapine versus Quetiapine in a Medicaid Population
2009 · Andrew P. Yu, Pavel Atanasov, et al. · Value in Health · 12
Cautious Defection: Group Representatives Cooperate and Risk Less than Individuals
2015 · Pavel Atanasov, Howard Kunreuther · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · 10
Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies
2022 · Ezra Karger, Pavel D. Atanasov, et al. · SSRN Electronic Journal · 9
Putting Health Back Into Health Insurance Choice
2014 · Pavel Atanasov, Tom Baker · Medical Care Research and Review · 9
Wisdom of the expert crowd prediction of response for 3 neurology randomized trials
2020 · Pavel Atanasov, Andreas Diamantaras, et al. · Neurology · 8
Works count: 66
Citation count: 1,417
H-index: 17
I10-index: 22
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