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Climate Penalty: Climate-driven Increases in Ozone and PM2.5 Levels and Mortality

Description: Project Narrative This project aims to estimate the health effect of “climate penalty”, i.e., the rising temperature indirectly affects human health via worsening ambient air quality (primarily PM2.5 and ozone levels) using a mediation analysis based on satellite-retrieved exposures and Medicare all-cause mortality. We will test the hypotheses that 1) the indirect health effect of a warming climate by worsening air quality can be a major public health burden of future climate change, and 2) improving air quality by reducing anthropogenic emission can mitigate the health effect of climate penalty. We will also forecast the excess deaths in 2050 and 2100 related to the climate penalty on air pollution using climate model ensembles simulated for different emission scenarios.
Funding type: research
Funder scheme: R21
Start date: 2021-03-16
End date: 2023-02-28
Investigator: HOWARD H CHANG
Institution: EMORY UNIVERSITY
Funded outputs count: 20
Funder award ID: R21ES032606
OpenAlex ID: G8932034676
2025 · Lifei Yin, Bin Bai, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · 28
2024 · Tszshan Ma, Pablo Knobel, et al. · NEJM Evidence · 10
2023 · James P. Healy, Mahdieh Danesh Yazdi, et al. · Environmental Health Perspectives · 30
2023 · Hua Hao, Yifan Wang, et al. · Environmental Science & Technology · 88
2023 · Yifan Wang, Pengfei Liu, et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 44
2022 · Liuhua Shi, Qiao Zhu, et al. · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 145
2022 · Tszshan Ma, Mahdieh Danesh Yazdi, et al. · Global Epidemiology · 33
2021 · Liuhua Shi, Andrew Rosenberg, et al. · Environmental Science & Technology · 75
2021 · Yaoyao Qian, Haomin Li, et al. · Environmental Health Perspectives · 53
2021 · Yifan Wang, Siyao Xiao, et al. · Environment International · 108
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