Work

Drought Assessment in a Changing Climate

Year: 2012
Type: book-chapter
Abstract: Drought is a natural and recurrent feature of climate.It occurs in all climatic zones, even if its characteristics vary significantly from one region to another, and differs from aridity that is a permanent feature of climate restricted to low rainfall areas.Drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation (less than normal) over an extended period of time, usually a season or more (Wilhite & Glantz, 1985; Bordi & Sutera, 2007).However, since precipitation is related to the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere, combined with the upward forcing of the air masses containing that water vapor, a reduction of either of these may favour the onset of drought conditions.Thus, the phenomenon can be triggered by an above average prevalence of high-pressure systems, by winds carrying continental rather than oceanic air masses, or by high temperatures that enhance evaporation.Moreover, drought is a creeping phenomenon that slowly sneaks up and impacts many sectors of the economy, the environment, and operates on many different time scales (Wilhite et al., 2007).For example, soil moisture conditions respond to precipitation deficits occurring on a relatively short time scale, whereas groundwater, streamflow, and reservoir storage respond to precipitation deficits arising over many months.As a result, drought cannot be viewed solely as a physical phenomenon but it should be considered in relation to its impacts on society.The American Meteorological Society (1997) grouped drought definitions and types into four categories: meteorological, agricultural, hydrological and socioeconomic (Heim, 2002).Based on all these definitions that nowadays are commonly accepted by the scientific community, three main issues emerge to be important for a comprehensive drought assessment: 1) Development of a drought index able to objectively assess drought conditions of regions characterized by different hydrological regimes and to evaluate the different kinds of droughts, 2) Perform a drought risk analysis in order to prevent the negative impacts of droughts, and 3) Understanding the link between climate variability and drought occurrence in relation to a changing climate.The first point has been addressed first by McKee et al. (1993) by developing the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), which is a drought index based only on monthly precipitation.The idea was to quantify the precipitation deficit for multiple time scales that reflect the impacts of drought on the availability of the different water resources.Since the index is standardized through an equal-probability transformation (see next section and Bordi & Sutera, 2004 for details), dry and wet conditions can be monitored in the same way as well as a comparison between locations with different climates is possible.For these reasons the SPI is widely applied for drought monitoring purposes, and in 2009 it has been recommended for characterizing meteorological drought around the world (see Lincon declaration on drought indices, Hayes www.intechopen.com
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W1499432452
FWCI: 1.261
Cites: 35
Cited by: 4
Related to: 10