Work

The 1971-1974 Controls Program and The Price Level: An Econometric Post-Mortem

Year: 1981
Type: report
Abstract: This paper provides new empirical evidence on the effects of the Nixon wage-price controls on the price level.The major new wrinkle is that the controls are treated as a quantitative (rather than just a qualitative) phenomenon through the use of a specially-constructed series indicating the fraction of the economy that was controlled.According to the estimates, by February 1974 controls had lowered the non-food non-energy price level by 3-4 percent.After that point, and especially after controls ended in April 1974, a period of rapid 'catch up' inflation eroded the gains that had been achieved, leaving the price level from zero to 2 percent below what it would have been in the absence of controls.The dismantling of controls can thus account for most the the burst of 'double digit' inflation in non-food and non-energy prices during 1974.
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W1535086557
Cites: 12
Cited by: 11
Related to: 10