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Simulation-based Bayesian analysis for multiple changepoints

Year: 2010
Type: preprint
Abstract: This paper presents a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to generate approximate posterior samples in retrospective multiple changepoint problems where the number of changes is not known in advance. The method uses conjugate models whereby the marginal likelihood for the data between consecutive changepoints is tractable. Inclusion of hyperpriors gives a near automatic algorithm providing a robust alternative to popular filtering recursions approaches in cases which may be sensitive to prior information. Three real examples are used to demonstrate the proposed approach.
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W1782946629
Cites: 13
Cited by: 7
Related to: 10