Work

The Mismeasurement of Risk

Year: 2002
Type: article
Abstract: Investors typically measure risk as the probability of a given loss or the amount that can be lost with a given probability at the end of their investment horizons. This view of risk considers only the final result, but investors perceive (or should perceive) risk differently. They are affected by exposure to loss throughout the investment period, not just at its conclusion. We introduce two new ways of measuring risk—within-horizon probability of loss and continuous value at risk—that reveal that exposure to loss is substantially greater than investors normally assume.
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2009548812
FWCI: 9.307
Cites: 13
Cited by: 80
Related to: 10