Year: 2006
Type: article
Abstract: Past, present and potential future glacier cover in the entire European Alps has been assessed from an integrated approach, combining in‐situ measurements, remote sensing techniques and numerical modeling for equilibrium line altitudes. Alpine glaciers lost 35% of their total area from 1850 until the 1970s, and almost 50% by 2000. Total glacier volume around 1850 is estimated at some 200 km3 and is now close to one‐third of this value. From the model experiment, we show that a 3°C warming of summer air temperature would reduce the currently existing Alpine glacier cover by some 80%, or up to 10% of the glacier extent of 1850. In the event of a 5°C temperature increase, the Alps would become almost completely ice‐free. Annual precipitation changes of ±20% would modify such estimated percentages of remaining ice by a factor of less than two.
Source: Geophysical Research Letters
DOI: 10.1029/2006gl026319
Institution: University of Zurich
Language: English
Subfield: Atmospheric Science
Field: Earth and Planetary Sciences
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDG: Climate action
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2046709798