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Understanding the Formation and Evolution of Interstellar Ices: a Bayesian Approach

Year: 2014
Type: article
Abstract: Understanding the physical conditions of dark molecular clouds and star-forming regions is an inverse problem subject to complicated chemistry that varies nonlinearly with both time and the physical environment. In this paper, we apply a Bayesian approach based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for solving the nonlinear inverse problems encountered in astrochemical modeling. We use observations for ice and gas species in dark molecular clouds and a time-dependent, gas–grain chemical model to infer the values of the physical and chemical parameters that characterize quiescent regions of molecular clouds. We show evidence that in high-dimensional problems, MCMC algorithms provide a more efficient and complete solution than more classical strategies. The results of our MCMC method enable us to derive statistical estimates and uncertainties for the physical parameters of interest as a result of the Bayesian treatment.
Authors: Antonios Makrymallis, Serena Viti
Language: English
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W2047815798
FWCI: 0.364
Cites: 33
Cited by: 14
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