Work

Do Bonds Span the Fixed Income Markets? Theory and Evidence for Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

Year: 2002
Type: article
Abstract: ABSTRACT Most term structure models assume bond markets are complete, that is, that all fixed income derivatives can be perfectly replicated using solely bonds. How ever, we find that, in practice, swap rates have limited explanatory power for returns on at‐the‐money straddles—portfolios mainly exposed to volatility risk. We term this empirical feature unspanned stochastic volatility (USV). While USV can be captured within an HJM framework, we demonstrate that bivariate models cannot exhibit USV. We determine necessary and sufficient conditions for trivariate Markov affine systems to exhibit USV. For such USV models, bonds alone may not be sufficient to identify all parameters. Rather, derivatives are needed.
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2064545790
FWCI: 16.42
Cites: 52
Cited by: 322
Related to: 10