Work

Stochastic aspects of climatic transitions-response to a periodic forcing

Year: 1982

Type: article

Abstract: The time-dependent properties of the Fokker–Planck equation corresponding to a zero-dimensional climate model, showing bistable behavior and subject to a weak external periodic forcing are analyzed. Conditions under which the response is amplified are found analytically. In this way the possibility of transitions between climatic states is established. The results are illustrated by the 100,000-yr periodicity of the eccentricity of the earth's orbit, in connection with glaciation cycles.

Source: Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography

DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v34i1.10781

Author: C. NICOLIS

Institution: Royal Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy

Language: English

Topic: Climate variability and models

Subfield: Global and Planetary Change

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDG: Climate action

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $1,410