Work

Exchange Rates and Cash Flows in Differentiated Product Industries: A Simulation Approach

Year: 2007
Type: article
Abstract: ABSTRACT How do exchange rate changes impact firms' cash flows? We extend a simulation method developed in industrial organization to answer this question. We use prices, quantities, and product characteristics for differentiated products, coupled with a discrete choice framework and an assumption of price competition, to estimate marginal costs for all producers. Using a Monte Carlo approach we generate counterfactual prices and profits for different levels of exchange rates. We illustrate the method using the market for bottled water. Our results stress that even in a relatively simple market such as this one, different brands face very different exchange rate risks.
Language: English
Subfield: Accounting
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W2076479645
FWCI: 4.617
Cites: 45
Cited by: 15
Related to: 10