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Theory and Application of James-Stein Seasonal Forecasting Model for Short Time Series

Year: 2014
Type: conference-paper
Abstract: Accurate seasonal forecasting plays an important role in product demand forecast.This paper gives an insight into the theory of a James-Stein seasonal forecasting model.The conditions in which the method outperforms the classical decomposition method are then presented.The conditions show that James-Stein model has more accurate prediction results when dealing with large noise data.The conclusion is then examined through a set of real data from M-competition.The experimental results confirm the practical value of the theory.
Authors: Hui Mao, Kui Zhang
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W2086917210
FWCI:
Cites: 15
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Related to: 10