Work

Credibility Models with Time-Varying Trend Components

Year: 1991
Type: article
Abstract: Traditional credibility models have treated the process generating the losses as stable over time, perhaps with a deterministic trend imposed. However, there is ample evidence that these processes are not stable over time. What is required is a method that allows for time-varying parameters in the process, yet still provides the shrinkage needed for sound ratemaking. In this paper we use an automobile insurance example to illustrate how this can be accomplished.
Language: English
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W2105505037
FWCI: 1.986
Cites: 28
Cited by: 36
Related to: 10