Work

The Emperor Has New Clothes: Empirical Tests of Mainstream Theories of Economic Growth

Year: 2014
Type: preprint
Abstract: Modern macroeconomic theory utilises optimal control techniques to model the maximisation of individual well-being using a lifetime utility function. Agents face choices over current and future consumption (with resultant implied savings decisions) seeking to maximise the present value of current plus future well-being. However, such inter-temporal welfare-maximising assumptions remain empirically untested. In the work presented here we test whether welfare was in (historical) fact maximised in the US between 1870-2000 and find empirical support for the optimising basis of growth theory, but only once a comprehensive view of what constitutes a country's wealth or capital is taken into account.
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2109505591
Cites: 52
Cited by: 1
Related to: 10