Work

EMU Membership and Business Cycle Phases in Europe: Markov-Switching VAR Analysis

Year: 2003
Type: article
Abstract: Most empirical applications of the OCA approach based on asymmetric shocks have failed to account for the credibility aspects that play an important role in deciding to join the EMU from the EMS or the EMS-BIS.In this paper, we tackle this problem by relying on a regime switching approach that characterizes the position of each economy in its business cycle.Then, using desynchronisation indices based on a non parametric approach, we measure the amplitude and the duration of divergence in the business cycles in order to assess the potential stabilization cost induced by the European economic and monetary union.
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W2136348279
FWCI: 1.651
Cites: 50
Cited by: 26
Related to: 10