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External Shocks, Internal Shots: The Geography of Civil Conflicts

Year: 2015

Type: article

Abstract: We use georeferenced information on the location of violent events in sub-Saharan African countries and provide evidence that external income shocks are important determinants of the intensity and geography of civil conflicts. More precisely, we find that (a) the incidence, intensity, and onset of conflicts are generally negatively and significantly correlated with income variations at the local level; (b) this relationship is significantly weaker for the most remote locations; and (c) at the country level, these shocks have an insignificant impact on the overall probability of conflict outbreak but do affect the probability that conflicts start in the most opened regions.

Source: The Review of Economics and Statistics

DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00521

Authors: Nicolas Berman, Mathieu Couttenier

Institutions: Center for Economic and Policy Research, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, University of Lausanne

Language: English

Topic: Political Conflict and Governance

Subfield: Sociology and Political Science

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDGs: Peace, justice, and strong institutions, Decent work and economic growth

Open Access status: green

OpenAlex ID: W2145748498

FWCI: 19.92

Cites: 40

Cited by: 164

Related to: 9