Transitory Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict
Year: 2008
Type: preprint
Abstract: I examine whether civil conflict is triggered by transitory negative economic shocks. My approach follows Miguel, Satyanath, and Sergenti (2004) in using rainfall as an exogenous source of economic shocks in Sub-Saharan African countries. The main difference is that my empirical specifications take into account that rainfall shocks are transitory. Failure to do so may lead to the conclusion that civil conflict is more likely to break out following droughts when the opposite is true.
Source: SSRN Electronic Journal
Author: Antonio Ciccone
Institutions: Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Centre for Economic Policy Research
Language: English
Subfield: Sociology and Political Science
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2152599510