Year: 2014
Type: report
Abstract: We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default.Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit default swap spreads and the detailed structure of financial linkages among thirteen European sovereigns from 2005 to 2011.Simulations from the estimated model show that a sovereign default generates only small spillovers to other sovereigns.These results imply that credit markets do not demand a significant premium for the interconnectedness of sovereign debt in Europe.
DOI: 10.3386/w20567
Authors: Brent Glover, Seth Richards-Shubik
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2164907655