Year: 1993
Type: article
Abstract: This paper presents an estimate of the cyclical component in Brazilian GDP obtained by allowing the trend component to follow a stochastic process. It also compares this estimate with a more naive one, obtained by forcing the trend to be deterministic. The main result this paper conveys is that the cyclical component in Brazilian GDP is very small, and hence almost all output fluctuations have been caused by long-run (real) factors.
Source: Brazilian Review of Econometrics
Author: Francisco Cribari-Neto
Institution: University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
Language: English
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W2170463129
