Work

Local warming and violent conflict in North and South Sudan

Year: 2014

Type: article

Abstract: Our article contributes to the emerging micro-level strand of the literature on the link between local variations in weather shocks and conflicts by focusing on a pixel-level analysis for North and South Sudan between 1997 and 2009. Temperature anomalies are found to strongly affect the risk of conflict, whereas the risk is expected to magnify in a range of 24–31% in the future under a median scenario. Our analysis also sheds light on the competition over natural resources, in particular water, as the main driver of such relationship in a region where pastoralism constitutes the dominant livelihood.

Source: Journal of Economic Geography

DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbu033

Authors: J.-F. Maystadt, M. Calderone, L. You

Institutions: Lancaster University, World Bank, International Food Policy Research Institute, Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences

Language: English

Topic: Transboundary Water Resource Management

Subfield: Sociology and Political Science

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDGs: Peace, justice, and strong institutions, Climate action

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $4,638