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Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation: The Case of Pakistan

Year: 2010
Type: article
Abstract: Conventional notions suggest that persistently high budget deficits give rise to inflation, which monetary policy on its own is powerless to prevent.However, empirical evidence does not provide convincing support for such a hypothesis.This paper reexamines the issue in the case of Pakistan using Johansen cointegration analysis.The empirical results suggest that in the long-run inflation is not related to budget deficit but only to supply of money, and supply of money has no causal connection with budget deficit.Hence, the findings imply that the hard government budget constraint does not find empirical support for Pakistan.
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W1880718729
FWCI: 2.024
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Cited by: 14
Related to: 10