Screening and mortality from cervical cancer
Year: 1999
Type: article
Abstract: Editor—We were rather non-plussed to read that the conclusion of the paper by Quinn et al on screening for cervical cancer1 is not supported by their data, and we wonder whether so called political correctness had anything to do with it. The statement “800 deaths might have been prevented in 1997” is based on a projected mortality of a completely arbitrarily (alas, not randomly) selected part of a subset of graphs showing trends in mortality. The opposite conclusion may be reached using the same graphs. For example, in women aged 35-44 mortality fell from 10 per 100 000 to 5 per 100 000 in the period 1960 to 1975, and it should have approached zero by 1997 assuming that the trend had continued. Similarly, with the same age groups as in the original paper, in women aged 25-34 mortality fell from 2.5 per 100 000 to 1.1 per 100 000 in the period 1955 to 1965, so by 1997 it should have again approached zero. Since the only new intervention has been screening, and the mortality is excessive at 5 per 100 000, screening may have caused up to 2900 extra deaths in 1997—by the same logic.
Source: BMJ
Language: English
Subfield: Epidemiology
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W3349684