Estimating the Number of People Returning Home on Foot Under the Tokyo Metropolitan Government Ordinance
Year: 2016
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: The Tokyo Metropolitan Government enforced an "Ordinance for Comprehensively Promoting Measures for Stranded Persons" on April 1st, 2013. In this paper, we investigate people's behavior after a large earthquake, which varies according to their personal attributes and various conditions, through a questionnaire survey. Next, we construct a model describing the people's decision-making to return home or stay at their work places, by a nested logit model. Finally we estimate the number of people returning home on foot after a large earthquake, and evaluate whether the ordinance can reduce the number of such people in the Tokyo metropolitan area.
DOI: 10.3130/aija.81.705
Author: Toshihiro OSARAGI
Institution: Tokyo Institute of Technology
Language: English
Subfield: Geography, Planning and Development
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W2319202526