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How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts

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Year: 2017
Type: article
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2017.11.001
Authors: François Lafond, Aimee Gotway Bailey, Jan David Bakker, Dylan Rebois, Rubina Zadourian, Patrick McSharry, J. Doyne Farmer
Institutions: University of Oxford, London Institute for Mathematical Sciences, United States Department of Energy, Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, University of Rwanda, Carnegie Mellon University Africa, Carnegie Mellon University, Santa Fe Institute
Language: English

Topic: Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
Subfield: Management Science and Operations Research
Field: Decision Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
SDG: Industry, innovation and infrastructure

Open Access status: green

Funders: Institute for New Economic Thinking, European Commission, Horizon 2020 Framework Programme, FP7 Information and Communication Technologies
Awards: G7571406853, COP21: Results and Implications for Pathways and Policies for Low Emissions European Societies, GROWTH AND INNOVATION POLICY-MODELLING: APPLYING NEXT GENERATION TOOLS, DATA, AND ECONOMIC COMPLEXITY IDEAS
OpenAlex ID: W2597852060
FWCI: 4.847
Cites: 82
Cited by: 79
Related to: 10
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