The Search for Models of Clinical Judgment: Fast, Frugal, and Friendly in Paul Meehl's Spirit
Year: 2004
Type: article
Abstract: Most psychologists have classified Meehl's “disturbing little book” as an attack against the reliability of clinical judgment and as a call for the replacement of clinical judges by actuarial methods. But Meehl had a lot more to say. His book presented three challenges to the study of judgment that have received scant attention. Psychologists have to develop (a) context-specific models of judgment, (b) non-linear process models that take into account the bounded nature of judgment, and (c) clinician-friendly actuarial methods. These challenges have received renewed attention in the ABC research program. Here we show how models of bounded and ecological rationality can be used to describe judgments and improve the accuracy and friendliness of actuarial methods in Paul Meehl's spirit.
Source: HAL
Language: English
Subfield: Family Practice
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2599847575