Work

Lottery judgments: A philosophical and experimental study

Year: 2017

Type: article

Abstract: In this paper, we present the results of two surveys that investigate subjects’ judgments about what can be known or justifiably believed about lottery outcomes on the basis of statistical evidence, testimonial evidence, and “mixed” evidence, while considering possible anchoring and priming effects. We discuss these results in light of seven distinct hypotheses that capture various claims made by philosophers about lay people’s lottery judgments. We conclude by summarizing the main findings, pointing to future research, and comparing our findings to recent studies by Turri and Friedman.

Source: Philosophical Psychology

DOI: 10.1080/09515089.2017.1367767

Authors: Philip A. Ebert, Martin Smith, Ian Durbach

Institutions: University of Stirling, University of Edinburgh, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cape Town

Language: English

Topic: Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics

Subfield: Philosophy

Field: Arts and Humanities

Domain: Social Sciences

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $635

Funders: National Research Foundation, Arts and Humanities Research Council