Work

Natural hazard information and migration across cities: evidence from the anticipated Nankai Trough earthquake

Year: 2020

Type: article

Study design: Observational Study

Abstract: This paper examines the effects of the 2012 revisions to the damage predictions of an anticipated Nankai Trough megathrust earthquake on subsequent inter-municipality migration in Japan’s coastal areas. We find that an increase in predicted tsunami height—rather than anticipated seismic movements—after the 2012 revision is associated with a subsequent reduction in net migration. While the reducing effect of tsunami predictions on in-migration persisted throughout the study period, the effect on out-migration was only temporary. Moreover, working-age people are more likely to respond to tsunami risk and avoid moving to municipalities with a high tsunami risk after the revisions.

Source: Population and Environment

DOI: 10.1007/s11111-020-00346-6

Authors: Michio Naoi, Keiichi Sato, Yozo Tanaka, Hiroaki Matsuura, Shingo Nagamatsu

Institutions: Keio University, Senshu University, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, Shoin University, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Kansai University

Language: English

Topic: Earthquake and Disaster Impact Studies

Subfield: Transportation

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Sustainable cities and communities

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $2,750

Funders: University of Southern California, Economic and Social Research Institute, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

Awards: Extended Development of Microsimulation for Temporary Housing Situations following Anticipated Earthquake Disasters and Consideration of Policy Recommendations, Empirical Analysis of Search and Matching in the Existing Housing Market, G3156070393, Empirical evaluation of disaster management policy by quasi-experimental method., Economic and Human Rights Evaluation of Health Care Reform Impact on Foreigners in Japan, Unraveling the Intergenerational Regional Mismatch in the Housing Market: Economic Analysis using Panel Data, Economic disparity and intergenerational transfer in the longevity society: Policy evaluation analysis using panel data, Crisis Thinking in Regional Japan: Responses to Depopulation, Industrial Restructuring and Disasters in Post-war Era; the Case Study of Kamaishi City, Iwate Prefecture

OpenAlex ID: W2755020337

FWCI: 1.548

Cites: 28

Cited by: 15

Related to: 10