Work

Emergent regularities and scaling in armed conflict data

Year: 2019

Type: preprint

Abstract: Armed conflict exhibits regularities beyond known power law distributions of fatalities and duration over varying culture and geography. We systematically cluster conflict reports from a database of $10^5$ events from Africa spanning 20 years into conflict avalanches. Conflict profiles collapse over a range of scales. Duration, diameter, extent, fatalities, and report totals satisfy mutually consistent scaling relations captured with a model combining geographic spread and local conflict-site growth. The emergence of such social scaling laws hints at principles guiding conflict evolution.

Source: arXiv (Cornell University)

DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.1903.07762

Authors: Lee, Edward D., Daniels, Bryan C., Myers, Christopher R., Krakauer, David C., Flack, Jessica C.

Institutions: Santa Fe Institute, Cornell University, Arizona State University

Language: English

Topic: Political Conflict and Governance

Subfield: Sociology and Political Science

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Peace, justice, and strong institutions

Open Access status: green

OpenAlex ID: W2921218118

Cites:

Cited by: 3

Related to: 19