Stratified analysis of Probabilities of causation
Year: 2006
Type: article
Abstract: This paper derives new bounds for the prob-abilities of causation defined by Pearl (2000), namely, the probability that one observed event was a necessary (or sufficient, or both) cause of another. Tian and Pearl (2000a, 2000b) showed how to bound these prob-abilities using information from experimen-tal and observational studies,with minimal assumptions about the data-generating pro-cess. We derive narrower bounds using co-variates measurements that might be avail-able in the studies. In addition, we pro-vide identifiable case under no-prevention as-sumption and discuss the covariate selection problem from the viewpoint of estimation ac-curacy. These results provides more accurate information for public policy, legal determi-nation of responsibility and personal decision making. 1
Authors: Manabu Kuroki, Zhihong Cai
Institutions: The University of Osaka, Kyoto University
Language: English
Subfield: Statistics and Probability
Field: Mathematics
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2963724669