Work

Does Unemployment Risk Affect Business Cycle Dynamics?

Year: 2020
Type: article
Abstract: In this paper, I show that the decline in household consumption during unemployment spells depends on both liquid and illiquid asset positions. I also provide evidence that unemployment spells predict the withdrawal of illiquid assets, particularly when households have few liquid assets. Motivated by these findings, I embed endogenous unemployment risk in a two-asset heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model. The model is consistent with the above evidence and provides a new propagation mechanism for aggregate shocks due to a flight-to-liquidity that occurs when unemployment risk rises. This mechanism implies that unemployment insurance plays an important role as an automatic stabilizer, particularly when monetary policy is constrained.
Language: English
Open Access status: diamond
OpenAlex ID: W3087759458
FWCI: 3.22
Cites: 61
Cited by: 15
Related to: 10