Development of a predictive model for retention in HIV care using natural language processing of clinical notes
Year: 2020
Type: article
Abstract: OBJECTIVE: Adherence to a treatment plan from HIV-positive patients is necessary to decrease their mortality and improve their quality of life, however some patients display poor appointment adherence and become lost to follow-up (LTFU). We applied natural language processing (NLP) to analyze indications towards or against LTFU in HIV-positive patients' notes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Unstructured lemmatized notes were labeled with an LTFU or Retained status using a 183-day threshold. An NLP and supervised machine learning system with a linear model and elastic net regularization was trained to predict this status. Prevalence of characteristics domains in the learned model weights were evaluated. RESULTS: We analyzed 838 LTFU vs 2964 Retained notes and obtained a weighted F1 mean of 0.912 via nested cross-validation; another experiment with notes from the same patients in both classes showed substantially lower metrics. "Comorbidities" were associated with LTFU through, for instance, "HCV" (hepatitis C virus) and likewise "Good adherence" with Retained, represented with "Well on ART" (antiretroviral therapy). DISCUSSION: Mentions of mental health disorders and substance use were associated with disparate retention outcomes, however history vs active use was not investigated. There remains further need to model transitions between LTFU and being retained in care over time. CONCLUSION: We provided an important step for the future development of a model that could eventually help to identify patients who are at risk for falling out of care and to analyze which characteristics could be factors for this. Further research is needed to enhance this method with structured electronic medical record fields.
Institution: University of Chicago
Language: English
Subfield: Artificial Intelligence
Field: Computer Science
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: bronze
Funders: University of Chicago, Georgia Clinical and Translational Science Alliance, Third Coast Center for AIDS Research, National Institutes of Health, Directorate for Biological Sciences, Center for AIDS Research, University of Washington, National Institute of Mental Health, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
OpenAlex ID: W3094779878