Work

Interconnectedness of the Banking Sector as a Vulnerability to Crises

Year: 2015

Type: article

Abstract: This paper uses macro‐network to measure the interconnectedness of the banking sector and relates it to banking crises in Europe. Beyond cross‐border financial linkages of the banking sector, the macronetwork also accounts for financial linkages to the other main financial and nonfinancial sectors within the economy. We find that a more central position of the banking sector in the macronetwork significantly increases the probability of a banking crisis. By analysing the different types of risk exposures, our evidence shows that credit is an important source of vulnerability. Finally, our early‐warning models augmented with interconnectedness measures outperform traditional models in terms of out‐of‐sample predictions.

Source: International Journal of Finance & Economics

DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1701

Authors: Tuomas Antero Peltonen, Michela Rancan, Peter Sarlin

Institutions: Joint Research Centre, Hanken School of Economics

Language: English

Topic: Banking stability, regulation, efficiency

Subfield: Finance

Field: Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Domain: Social Sciences

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $3,400

Funder: Ministry of Strategy and Finance