Work

How Does Terrorism Risk Vary Across Space and Time? an Analysis Based on the Israeli Experience

Year: 2007

Type: article

Abstract: We study the spatial and temporal determinants of terrorism risk in Israel, using a geocoded database of Israeli terrorist attacks from 1949 to 2004. In selecting targets, terrorists seem to respond rationally to costs and benefits: they are more likely to hit targets more accessible from their own homebases and international borders, closer to symbolic centers of government administration, and in more heavily Jewish areas. We also examine the waiting time between attacks experienced by localities. Long periods without an attack signal lower risk for most localities, but higher risk for important areas such as regional or national capitals.

Source: Defence and Peace Economics

DOI: 10.1080/10242690600863935

Authors: Claude Berrebi, Darius Lakdawalla

Institution: RAND Corporation

Language: English

Topic: Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

Subfield: Sociology and Political Science

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Peace, justice, and strong institutions

Open Access status: green

Funders: RAND Corporation, University of Tasmania