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Should We Fear the Robot Revolution? (The Correct Answer is Yes)

Year: 2018
Type: article
Abstract: We may be on the cusp of a “second industrial revolution” based on advances in artificial intelligence and robotics. We analyze the implications for inequality and output, using a model with two assumptions: “robot” capital is distinct from traditional capital in its degree of substitutability with human labor; and only capitalists and skilled workers save. We analyze a range of variants that reflect widely different views of how automation may transform the labor market. Our main results are surprisingly robust: automation is good for growth and bad for equality; in the benchmark model real wages fall in the short run and eventually rise, but “eventually” can easily take generations.
Language: English
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W3123393473
FWCI: 11.02
Cites: 24
Cited by: 82
Related to: 10