Work

Long-Run Effects of Aid: Forecasts and Evidence from Sierra Leone

Year: 2023
Type: article
Abstract: We evaluate the long-run effects of a decentralised approach to economic development called community-driven development—a prominent strategy for delivering foreign aid—by revisiting a randomised community-driven development program in Sierra Leone 11 years after launch. We estimate large persistent gains in local public goods and market activity, and modest positive effects on institutions. There is suggestive evidence that community-driven development may have slightly improved the communities’ response to the 2014 Ebola epidemic. We compare estimates to the forecasts of experts from Sierra Leone and abroad, working in policy and academia, and find that local policymakers are overly optimistic about the effectiveness of community-driven development.
Language: English
Subfield: Development
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W3199169041
FWCI: 4.34
Cites: 27
Cited by: 8
Related to: 10