Year: 1980
Type: article
Abstract: One of two random variables, X and Y, can be selected at each of a possibly infinite number of stages. Depending on the outcome, one's fortune is either increased or decreased by 1. The probability of increase may not be known for either X or Y. The objective is to increase one's fortune to G before it decreases to g, for some integral g and G; either may be infinite. In the current part of the paper, the distribution of X is unknown and that of Y is known. We characterize the situations in which optimal strategies exist and, for certain kinds of information concerning X and Y, we characterize optimal sequential strategies for choosing to observe X and Y. In Part II (Berry and Fristedt (1980)), it is known that either X or Y has probability α of increasing the current fortune by 1 and the other has probability β of increasing the fortune by 1, where α and β are known, but which goes with X is not known.
Source: Advances in Applied Probability
Authors: Donald A. Berry, Bert Fristedt
Institution: University of Minnesota
Language: English
Field: Decision Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2329108471