Work

Mathematical Modeling of Age-Specific Fertility Rates of Nepali Mothers

Year: 2022

Type: article

Abstract: In this paper, polynomial models have been formulated to describe the distribution pattern of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and forward-cumulative ASFRs of Nepali mothers. The former follows the bi-quadratic polynomial and the latter follows the quadratic one. Velocity and elasticity equations of the fitted models have been formulated. The areas covered by the curves of the fitted models have been evaluated, and the area covered by the curve of ASFRs is equivalent to the total fertility rate (TFR). Furthermore, the mode of the fitted ASFRs has been estimated. To test the stability and validity of fitted models, cross validity prediction power, shrinkage of the model, F-test statistics and the coefficient of determination have been applied.

Source: Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research

DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.3319

Authors: Arjun Kumar Gaire, Gyan Bahadur Thapa, Samir K. C.

Institutions: Purbanchal University, Khwopa College of Engineering, Khwopa Engineering College, Tribhuvan University, Institute of Engineering, Pulchowk Campus, Shanghai University

Language: English

Topic: Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management

Subfield: Demography

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Good health and well-being

Open Access status: diamond

OpenAlex ID: W4281910601

FWCI: 2.105

Cites: 21

Cited by: 7

Related to: 10