Work

The Impact of Geopolitical Conflicts on Trade, Growth, and Innovation

Year: 2022
Type: report
Abstract: Geopolitical conflicts have increasingly been a driver of trade policy. We study the potential effects of global and persistent geopolitical conflicts on trade, technological innovation, and economic growth. In conventional trade models the welfare costs of such conflicts are modest. We build a multi-sector multi-region general equilibrium model with dynamic sector-specific knowledge diffusion, which magnifies welfare losses of trade conflicts. Idea diffusion is mediated by the input-output structure of production, such that both sector cost shares and import trade shares characterize the source distribution of ideas.
Authors: World Trade Organization, Carlos Góes, Eddy Bekkers
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W4313233199
Cites: 31
Cited by: 63
Related to: 10