Community- and data-driven homelessness prevention and service delivery: optimizing for equity
Year: 2023
Type: article
Abstract: OBJECTIVE: The study tests a community- and data-driven approach to homelessness prevention. Federal policies call for efficient and equitable local responses to homelessness. However, the overwhelming demand for limited homeless assistance is challenging without empirically supported decision-making tools and raises questions of whom to serve with scarce resources. MATERIALS AND METHODS: System-wide administrative records capture the delivery of an array of homeless services (prevention, shelter, short-term housing, supportive housing) and whether households reenter the system within 2 years. Counterfactual machine learning identifies which service most likely prevents reentry for each household. Based on community input, predictions are aggregated for subpopulations of interest (race/ethnicity, gender, families, youth, and health conditions) to generate transparent prioritization rules for whom to serve first. Simulations of households entering the system during the study period evaluate whether reallocating services based on prioritization rules compared with services-as-usual. RESULTS: Homelessness prevention benefited households who could access it, while differential effects exist for homeless households that partially align with community interests. Households with comorbid health conditions avoid homelessness most when provided longer-term supportive housing, and families with children fare best in short-term rentals. No additional differential effects existed for intersectional subgroups. Prioritization rules reduce community-wide homelessness in simulations. Moreover, prioritization mitigated observed reentry disparities for female and unaccompanied youth without excluding Black and families with children. DISCUSSION: Leveraging administrative records with machine learning supplements local decision-making and enables ongoing evaluation of data- and equity-driven homeless services. CONCLUSIONS: Community- and data-driven prioritization rules more equitably target scarce homeless resources.
Authors: Amanda R Kube, Sanmay Das, Patrick J Fowler
Institutions: Washington University in St. Louis, George Mason University
Language: English
Subfield: General Health Professions
Field: Health Professions
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,967
Funder: National Science Foundation
Awards: FAI: FairGame: An Audit-Driven Game Theoretic Framework for Development and Certification of Fair AI, EAGER: AI-DCL: Exploratory research on the use of AI at the intersection of homelessness and child maltreatment, RI: Small: Efficient and Just Allocation of Scarce Societal Resources, and Applications to Homelessness
OpenAlex ID: W4362716603
