Year: 2023
Type: article
Abstract: Storm nowcasting is critical and urgently needed. Recent advances in deep learning (DL) have shown potential for improving nowcasting accuracy and predicting general low‐intensity precipitation events. However, DL models yield poor performance on high‐impact storms due to insufficient extraction and characterization of complex multi‐scale spatiotemporal variations of storms. To tackle this challenge, we propose a novel customized multi‐scale (CM) DL framework, including a flexible attention module capturing scale variations and a customized loss function ensuring multi‐scale spatiotemporal consistency. The CM framework was applied to the storm event imagery data set (SEVIR). Representative cases indicate that the CM framework preserves the shape of storms and adequately forecasts intense storms even for longer predictions. The quantitative evaluation shows that all models applying our framework can improve skill scores by 8.5%–42.6% for 1‐hr nowcasting. This work highlights the importance of modeling multi‐scale spatiotemporal characteristics of meteorological variables when using DL.
Source: Geophysical Research Letters
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl103979
Authors: Shangshang Yang, Huiling Yuan
Institutions: China Meteorological Administration, Nanjing University
Language: English
Subfield: Atmospheric Science
Field: Earth and Planetary Sciences
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDG: Climate action
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,900
Award: G3009225997
OpenAlex ID: W4383069610