Work

How does the universal two-child policy affect fertility behavior?

Year: 2023

Type: article

Abstract: The Chinese government implemented the universal two-child policy on January 1 2016 to arrest the decline in the nation's birthrate and address the challenge of a rapidly aging population. We find that this policy significantly increased the possibility of having children and this effect was not attenuated from 2016 to 2018. This policy can explain 14.8% of the average number of newborns in 2016–2018. Our back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that the three-child policy implemented in 2021 will bring additional 283.2 thousand newborns each year.

Source: China Economic Quarterly International

DOI: 10.1016/j.ceqi.2023.11.002

Authors: Run Ge, Xinzheng Shi

Institutions: Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Tsinghua University

Language: English

Topic: Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences

Subfield: Gender Studies

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Good health and well-being

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $700