Year: 2022
Type: report
Abstract: Economists have long struggled to understand why aggregate productivity growth has dropped in recent decades while the number of new patents filed has steadily increased.I offer an explanation for this puzzling divergence: the creativity embodied in US patents has dropped dramatically over time.To separate creative from derivative patents, I develop a novel, text-based measure of patent creativity: the share of technical terminology that did not appear in previous patents.I show that only creative and not derivative patents are associated with significant improvements in firm level productivity.Using the measure, I show that inventors on average file creative patents upon entry, and file derivative patents with more experience.I embed this life-cycle of creativity in a growth model with endogenous creation and imitation of technologies.In this model, falling population growth explains 27% of the observed decline in patent creativity, 30% of the slowdown in productivity growth, and 64% of the increase in patenting.
DOI: 10.20955/wp.2024.008
Author: Aakash Kalyani
Institution: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Language: English
Subfield: Management of Technology and Innovation
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: gold
OpenAlex ID: W4393852246