Work

The Development and Performance of Alternative Criteria for Lung Cancer Screening

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: BACKGROUND: The recommendation for lung cancer screening (LCS) developed by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) may exclude some high-benefit people. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether alternative criteria can identify these high-benefit people. DESIGN: Model-based projections. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: People from the 1997-2014 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) to develop alternative criteria using fast-and-frugal tree algorithms and from the 2014-2018 NHIS and the 2022 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System for comparisons of USPSTF criteria versus alternative criteria. MEASUREMENTS: Life-years gained from LCS were estimated using the life-years gained from screening computed tomography (LYFS-CT) model. "High-benefit" was defined as gaining an average of at least 16.2 days of life from 3 annual screenings, which reflects high lung cancer risk and substantial life gains if lung cancer is detected by screening. RESULTS: = 0.171]) at similar specificity. The alternative criteria identify high-risk, high-benefit groups excluded by the USPSTF criteria (those with a smoking duration of ≥40 years but <20 pack-years and a quit history of >15 years), many of whom are members of racial and ethnic minorities. LIMITATION: The results were based on model projections. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that simple alternative LCS criteria can identify substantially more high-benefit people, especially in some racial and ethnic groups. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs Lung Precision Oncology Program.

Source: Annals of Internal Medicine

DOI: 10.7326/m23-3250