Work

Analysis of influencing factors and construction of risk prediction model for postoperative thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients with heart disease

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: To analyze the influencing factors of postoperative thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients with heart disease and construct a nomogram prediction model. From October 2022 to October 2023, 319 critically ill patients with heart disease who visited our hospital were collected and separated into postoperative thrombocytopenia group ( n = 142) and no postoperative thrombocytopenia group ( n = 177) based on their postoperative thrombocytopenia, Logistic regression analysis was applied to screen risk factors for postoperative thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients with heart disease; R software was applied to construct a nomogram for predicting postoperative thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients with heart disease, and ROC curves, calibration curves, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit tests were applied to evaluate nomogram. A total of 142 out of 319 critically ill patients had postoperative thrombocytopenia, accounting for 44.51%. Logistic regression analysis showed that gender (95% CI 1.607–4.402, P = 0.000), age ≥ 60 years (95% CI 1.380–3.697, P = 0.001), preoperative antiplatelet therapy (95% CI 1.254–3.420, P = 0.004), and extracorporeal circulation time > 120 min (95% CI 1.681–4.652, P = 0.000) were independent risk factors for postoperative thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients with heart disease. The area under the ROC curve was 0.719 (95% CI: 0.663–0.774). The slope of the calibration curve was close to 1, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test was χ 2 = 6.422, P = 0.491. Postoperative thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients with heart disease is influenced by gender, age ≥ 60 years, preoperative antiplatelet therapy, and extracorporeal circulation time > 120 min. A nomogram established based on above multiple independent risk factors provides a method for clinical prediction of the risk of postoperative thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients with heart disease.

Source: Journal of Cardiothoracic Surgery

DOI: 10.1186/s13019-024-03017-x