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A Probabilistic Approach to Assessing Passenger Survival in Aircraft Accidents Near an Airport Area

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: ABSTRACT This study proposes a probabilistic model to assess the likelihood of passenger survival in fires resulting from aircraft accidents. The model evaluates the risk of passenger death in a fire, considering the type of aircraft and airline. By comparing the time available for passengers to fully evacuate a burning plane with the time required for evacuation using modern means and technologies, onboard rescue equipment, and the qualifications of crew members and rescue personnel, we introduce a comprehensive approach to quantify passenger survival rates. Additionally, the concept of the hazard coefficient is introduced, which accounts for factors such as cabin temperature and toxic components.

Source: Transactions of the Institute of Aviation

DOI: 10.2478/tar-2024-0017

Authors: Julija Soldatova, Leonid Vinogradov, Vladimir Shestakov

Institution: Riga Technical University

Language: English

Topic: Fire dynamics and safety research

Subfield: Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

Field: Engineering

Domain: Physical Sciences

Open Access status: diamond

OpenAlex ID: W4402498019

FWCI:

Cites: 3

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Related to: 10