Work

A non-autonomous framework for climate change and extreme weather events increase in a stochastic energy balance model

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: We develop a three-timescale framework for modeling climate change and introduce a space-heterogeneous one-dimensional energy balance model. This model, addressing temperature fluctuations from rising carbon dioxide levels and the super-greenhouse effect in tropical regions, fits within the setting of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations. Our results show how both mean and variance of temperature increase, without the system going through a bifurcation point. This study aims to advance the conceptual understanding of the extreme weather events frequency increase due to climate change.

Source: Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science

DOI: 10.1063/5.0223309

Authors: G. Del Sarto, F. Flandoli

Institutions: Scuola Normale Superiore, Istituto Universitario di Studi Superiori di Pavia

Language: English

Topic: Climate variability and models

Subfield: Global and Planetary Change

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDG: Climate action

Open Access status: hybrid

Funders: Università Degli Studi di Modena e Reggio Emila, European Commission