Year: 2024
Type: article
Abstract: Predicting stock price movements remains a major challenge in time series analysis. Despite extensive research on various machine learning techniques, few models have consistently achieved success in automated stock trading. One of the main challenges in stock price forecasting is that the optimal model changes over time due to market dynamics. This paper aims to predict stock prices using automated reinforcement learning algorithms and to analyse their efficiency compared with conventional methods. We automate DQN models and their variants, known for their adaptability, by continuously retraining them using recent data to capture market dynamics. We demonstrate that our dynamic models improve the accuracy of predicting the directions of various DAX stocks from 50.00% to approximately 60.00%, compared with conventional methods. Additionally, we conclude that dynamic models should be updated in response to shifts rather than at fixed intervals.
Source: Expert Systems
DOI: 10.1111/exsy.13725
Authors: Said Yasin, Adrian Paschke, Jamal Al Qundus
Language: English
Field: Decision Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,520
OpenAlex ID: W4402883111