Work

Enhancing Photovoltaic Power Predictions with Deep Physical Chain Model

Year: 2024
Type: article
Abstract: Predicting solar power generation is a complex challenge with multiple issues, such as data quality and choice of methods, which are crucial to effectively integrate solar power into power grids and manage photovoltaic plants. This study creates a hybrid methodology to improve the accuracy of short-term power prediction forecasts using a model called Transformer Bi-LSTM (Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory). This model, which combines elements from the transformer architecture and bidirectional LSTM (Long–Short-Term Memory), is evaluated using two strategies: the first strategy makes a direct prediction using meteorological data, while the second employs a chain of deep learning models based on transfer learning, thus simulating the traditional physical chain model. The proposed approach improves performance and allows you to incorporate physical models to refine forecasts. The results outperform existing methods on metrics such as mean absolute error, specifically by around 24%, which could positively impact power grid operation and solar adoption.
Source: Algorithms
Language: English
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $1,819
OpenAlex ID: W4403192162
FWCI: 0.444
Cites: 33
Cited by: 3
Related to: 10