Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and pancreatic cancer risk: target trial emulation using real-world data
Year: 2024
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: BACKGROUND: Data on the effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) on pancreatic cancer incidence are limited and inconsistent. Here we evaluate the association of GLP-1RAs, alone and in combinations, with incident pancreatic cancer risk in a real-world population, stratified by obesity and smoking status. METHODS: This retrospective cohort included patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who were prescribed GLP-1RAs or other nonglucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist antidiabetes medications between January 2013 and March 2019 and had no prior diagnosis of pancreatic cancer. The incident (first-time) diagnosis of pancreatic cancer during a 5-year follow-up was compared between propensity-score matched cohorts of patients prescribed GLP-1RAs vs other nonglucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist antidiabetes medications. Subgroup analyses were performed in patients stratified by the status of obesity and tobacco use disorder. We also compared GLP-1RA combination therapies with monotherapies. Time-to-first-event analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, with the hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval calculated. RESULTS: The study population comprised 1 636 056 eligible patients including 167 091 prescribed GLP-1RAs and 1 468 965 prescribed other antidiabetes medications. GLP-1RAs were associated with a statistically significant decreased risk for pancreatic cancer incidence compared with each of 6 nonglucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist antidiabetes medications with hazard ratios ranging from 0.42 to 0.82. The reduction was greater in patients with obesity and tobacco use disorder than in those without. GLP-1RA combination therapies were associated with lower pancreatic cancer risk compared with monotherapies. CONCLUSIONS: GLP-1RAs were associated with reduced pancreatic cancer incidence in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Further studies and trials are needed to explore mechanisms and confirm causal effects.
DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djae260
Language: English
Subfield: Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: bronze
Funders: American Cancer Society, Case Comprehensive Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, National Institute on Aging, National Cancer Institute, National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development
Awards: G10242226, G1120781471, G1188355891, G1532938828, G1574772097, G3113449353, G4043835152, G4194455128, Human gut microbiome and cancer, G4521546619, G4637436490, G564978494, G5801743066, G5822270753, G8418322957, G8498997631, Case Comprehensive Cancer Center Support Grant, Case CCC Youth Engaged in Science, 09/01/2022-08/31/2027
OpenAlex ID: W4403512672
