Work

Indirect models for SWCC parameters: reducing prediction uncertainty with machine learning

Year: 2024
Type: article
Abstract: The soil–water characteristic curve (SWCC) is crucial for modelling the transport of water and hazardous materials in the vadose zone. However, measuring SWCC is often cumbersome and time-consuming. This paper introduces indirect models that predict SWCC parameters in probabilistic distributions using easily measurable quantities such as particle-size distributions and porosity. This paper starts with building a joint normal model and the derived conditional probability from it serves as a predictive model. However, this model had extremely high prediction uncertainty. To reduce such uncertainty, various machine-learning techniques were explored, including introducing the dependence of variation scale on predictors, using artificial neural networks (ANN) to model nonlinear dependence, incorporating additional predictive features, and generating a larger dataset. The final machine-learning model successfully reduces prediction variability and has been rigorously tested on a separate set of samples to prevent overfitting.
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $3,580
OpenAlex ID: W4403560499
FWCI: 1.519
Cites: 21
Cited by: 9
Related to: 10